New analysis

Outlook 2027: six shifts in the open-source threat picture, and what each one changes for investigators.

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About Aldervane

Investigators first. Since 2014.

Aldervane was founded by a financial crimes prosecutor's investigator and an investigative journalist who kept meeting at the same dead end: open-source research that found plenty and proved nothing. We built a firm to close that gap.

  • Founded 2014
  • 160 people across 14 time zones
  • Clients in 30+ countries

Our story

Built to finish the work.

In 2014, the open web already held the answer to most of the questions our founders were asked. What it lacked was discipline: a way to collect it lawfully, preserve it properly and reason about it carefully enough that someone could act.

Catherine Vale had spent eighteen years tracing money for prosecutors and had watched promising leads collapse because nobody could prove where a screenshot came from. Tomas Reyner had run a verification desk and knew that a confident answer and a correct one are not the same thing. They started Aldervane with four analysts, a written methodology and a rule that has never changed: we do not report what we cannot prove.

Twelve years later, that rule runs through a team of 160 investigators, analysts, linguists and engineers, a platform built around evidence, and more than 2,600 closed investigations.

The rule we started with

We do not report what we cannot prove. When we cannot prove it, we say so, and we say what it would take.

Catherine Vale, Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder

By the numbers

Twelve years of measured results.

2,600+ Investigations closed
91% Of attributions confirmed by courts, regulators or law enforcement 412 attributions with a known outcome
41 Working languages, reviewed by native speakers
160 Investigators, analysts, linguists and engineers

What we value

How we behave when nobody is checking.

Finish the work

A list of leads is not a deliverable. We stay with a question until it is answered or until we can explain precisely why it cannot be.

Prove it

Every claim traces to preserved evidence. Every judgment carries a confidence level. Every attribution survives an independent challenge.

Say no

We decline roughly one in seven requests because the purpose, the method or the client does not meet our standards. That is a feature.

Stay independent

Our fee never depends on what we find. Clients receive the answer the evidence supports, including when it is not the one they wanted.

Look after our people

Our analysts see the worst of the internet. Structured welfare support, rotation and counseling are part of the job, not a perk.

Teach what we know

We publish our methods and train client teams, because a field with better tradecraft is safer for everyone it touches.

Leadership

The people accountable for the work.

Every member of our leadership team has run investigations themselves. Most still review casework every week.

Catherine Vale

Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder

Spent eighteen years in financial investigations before founding Aldervane, most recently leading a financial investigations unit at a national prosecution service.

Tomas Reyner

Co-Founder and Head of Investigations

Former investigative journalist and verification editor. Leads the investigations practice and reviews every high-profile attribution.

Dr. Amara Okafor-Lind

Chief Methodology Officer

Doctorate in intelligence analysis and a former analytic standards lead. Owns our methodology, confidence language and red-team program.

Jonah Whitlock

Chief Technology Officer

Fifteen years building collection and evidence platforms. Architect of the Aldervane platform, from Capture in 2018 to Screen and Atlas.

Daniel Okoro

Chief Operating Officer

Former intelligence operations officer. Runs the 24/7 watch floor, staffing and delivery across 14 time zones.

Lena Fairbanks

Director, Financial Crime and Due Diligence

Former head of a bank financial intelligence unit. Leads fraud attribution, asset tracing and ownership investigations.

Priya Sandoval

Director, Protective Intelligence

Former protective operations planner. Leads threat assessment, executive exposure reduction and protective monitoring.

Nadia Ferreira-Holt

Director, Screening and Insider Risk

Ran personnel security and vetting programs for a critical infrastructure operator. Leads identity integrity screening and insider risk investigations.

Mei-Lin Castellanos

Director, Supply Chain Intelligence

Fifteen years as a trade compliance investigator. Leads sub-tier supplier mapping and forced labor, sanctions and diversion work.

Henrik Aslaksen

Director, Geopolitical Risk

Former foreign correspondent and crisis analyst. Leads the six regional desks, event verification and country risk assessment.

Marek Halloran

General Counsel and Head of Standards

Chairs the standards committee that screens engagements and oversees evidence handling, data protection and ethics.

Milestones

How we got here.

Growth has always followed method. Each new practice opened only once we could deliver it to the same standard as the last.

Our team today: former law enforcement and prosecution investigators, journalists and researchers, financial crime specialists, analysts and linguists, and the engineers who build the tools they rely on.

Join the team

  1. 2014

    Founded with four analysts

    A written methodology and one rule: do not report what you cannot prove.

  2. 2016

    First government and law enforcement clients

    Evidence packages built for disclosure become a standard deliverable.

  3. 2017

    Due diligence practice launched

    Ownership and integrity work for banks, funds and law firms.

  4. 2018

    Aldervane Capture goes live

    Every item collected is now hashed and logged at the moment of capture.

  5. 2019

    24/7 watch floor opens

    Threat monitoring and protective intelligence move to round-the-clock coverage.

  6. 2020

    Influence operations practice formed

    Coordinated campaign detection and attribution for governments and platforms.

  7. 2021

    Training academy opens

    Our investigators begin teaching tradecraft to client teams.

  8. 2022

    Supply chain intelligence practice formed

    Sub-tier supplier mapping for forced labor, sanctions and diversion exposure.

  9. 2023

    Pro bono program launched

    Dedicated analyst hours for organizations fighting trafficking and exploitation.

  10. 2024

    Screening and insider risk practice opens

    Aldervane Screen goes live for identity integrity checks at volume.

  11. 2025

    Regional desks and Aldervane Atlas

    Six desks begin verifying events against client sites and routes.

  12. 2026

    2,600 investigations closed

    Eleven disciplines, 160 people, 41 working languages and clients in more than 30 countries.

Pro bono

The same standard, given freely.

Since 2023, two percent of our analyst hours each year have gone to organizations fighting human trafficking and the exploitation of children and vulnerable workers.

Pro bono cases receive the same methodology, the same evidence handling and the same red-team review as paid work. The only difference is the invoice.

About the pro bono program

Read: Fake job ads, real victims

14,000+ Analyst hours given since 2023
31 Investigations completed for 19 partner organizations
212 Potential victims identified and referred to support services

Start an engagement

Bring us the question nobody else could answer.

Tell us what you need to know and why. A senior investigator will scope it with you, tell you candidly what open sources can and cannot establish, and propose a plan with a fixed fee and a firm timeline.